Tuesday 29 December 2015

Dog Bite Risk and Prevention: "The Role of Breed"

Literature Review

March 12, 2015


This peer-reviewed summary has been prepared by the American Veterinary Medical Association Animal Welfare Division. While principally a review of the scientific literature, it may also include information gleaned from proprietary data, legislative and regulatory review, market conditions, and scholarly ethical assessments. It is provided as information and its contents should not be construed as official AVMA policy. Mention of trade names, products, commercial practices or organizations does not imply endorsement by the American Veterinary Medical Association.

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Breeds Implicated in Serious Bite Injuries

In a range of studies, the breeds found to frequently appear in lists of dogs implicated in biting incidents were German Shepherd Dog,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,50 mixed breed,1,4,6,8,10,11,12,19,17,20,50pit bull-type dogs,5,9,13,16,21,20,22,23,24,25,26,27 Rottweiler,1518,22,24, 25,28 Jack Russell Terrier,21,25,26 and others (Chow Chow,7,23  Spaniel,14,26 Collie,3,29 Saint Bernard,20 and Labrador Retriever2). If only the cases that resulted in very severe injuries or fatalities20,22 are considered, pit bull-type dogs are more frequently identified. This may relate to the popularity of the breed in the victim’s community, reporting biases, misidentification, and the dog’s treatment by its owner (e.g., use as fighting dogs20). It is worth noting that fatal dog attacks in some areas of Canada are attributed mainly to “sled dogs” and Siberian Huskies,52 presumably due to the regional prevalence of these breeds.  See Table 1 for a summary of breed data related to bite injuries.
 

Controlled Studies

The prevalence of particular dog breeds can also change rapidly over time, often influenced by distinct peaks of popularity for specific breeds. It seems that increased popularity is sometimes followed by increases in bite reports in some large breeds. For example there was a distinct peak in American Kennel Club registration of Rottweilers30 between 1990 and 1995, and they emerged at the top of the list of ‘biting breeds’ for the first time in studies of bites causing hospitalization in the late 1990s and early 2000s.24,25,15,54 While it must be noted that other temporarily popular breeds such as Dalmatians and Irish setters do not seem to make similar appearances, any estimate of breed-based risk must take into account the prevalence of the breed in the population at the time and place of serious biting events.17,31
For example, researchers can compare well-documented bite cases with dogs living in similar (matched control) households. Using this method, one study found that the breeds disproportionately involved in bite injuries requiring medical attention in the Denver area (where pit bull types are not permitted) were the German Shepherd Dog and Chow Chow.60
 
Other studies use estimates of breed prevalence that do not relate specifically to the households where the bites occurred, such as general community surveys, breed registries, dog license databases or animal shelter populations (See Table 2.). A study in Rome, Italy where molloser dogs like the Mastiff are reputed to be the most dangerous dogs, found they were not disproportionately involved in biting incidents when taking into account their prevalence in the community. 32 These prevalence referenced studies attribute somewhat higher risk to a range of breeds including theGerman Shepherd Dog and crosses56,57,58,59,60and various other breeds (mixed breed,58,59 Cocker Spaniel,57,61 Chow Chow,60,61 Collie,57 Doberman,56  Lhasa Apso,40,61 Rottweiler,45 Springer Spaniel,39 Shih Tsu,39 and Poodle58).
 

Aggressive Breeds

Breeds found to be more aggressive toward people based on behavioral assessments and owner surveys includes tend to belong to small- to medium-sized breeds such as the collies, toy breeds and spaniels.33,34,35,36,37  One survey of general veterinary clientele in Canada (specifically practices in New Brunswick, Novia Scotia, and Prince Edward Island) identified Lhasa Apso, Springer Spaniel and Shih Tsu as more likely to bite.39
When dogs of small stature show aggression aggressive their relatively limited strength means they are less likely to inflict serious bite injury except on vulnerable individuals or as part of a group of dogs.38,39 Referrals for aggression problems more closely approximate the breeds implicated in serious bites , possibly because owners are more likely to seek treatment for aggression in dogs that are large enough to do serious damage or pose a significant risk of injury. Larger dogs (regardless of breed) are implicated in more publically reported injuries caused to humans40 and other dogs.41
Certain large breeds are notably under-represented in bite statistics such as large hounds and retrievers (e.g., Labrador Retrievers, Golden Retrievers)31,39—although these breeds may have aggressive subtypes.42 Results relating to German Shepherd Dogs are mixed,32,43 suggesting there unidentified factors are causing variation in outcomes.
 

Pit Bull types

Owners of dogs that are identified by the community as ‘pit bull type’ may experience a strong breed stigma,44 however controlled studies have not identified this breed group as disproportionately dangerous. The pit bull type is particularly ambiguous as a “breed” encompassing a range of pedigree breeds, informal types and appearances that cannot be reliably identified.45 Visual determination of dog breed is known to be unreliable.46 As discussed witnesses may be predisposed to assume that a dog that bites is a ‘pit bull’.  
 The incidence of ‘pit bull-type’ dogs’ involvement in severe or fatal attacks may be associated with prevalence of at-risk dogs in neighborhoods with lots of young children. Owners of stigmatized breeds are more likely to have involvement in criminal and/or violent acts47, so apparent ‘breed correlations’ may be due to patterns in owner behavior.
 

Breed Bans

Most serious dog bite injuries (defined as requiring hospital treatment) in the United States involve victims who are young children,50  un-neutered dogs, and dogs familiar to the victim (belonging to the family, a family friend or neighbor).29,48,49,50Accordingly, responsible ownership and supervision is key to minimizing the risk of dog bites in communities.
Limiting ownership of specific breeds has been suggested by some to reduce injuries(e.g., pit bull type,50 German Shepherd Dog51) however there is no evidence that breed-specific bans reduce the rate or severity of bite injuries the community.8,52,53 Strategies known decrease the number of dog bites include active enforcement of dog control ordinances.54
 

Conclusion

Dogs who bite can seriously injure or kill people43.  It is  natural for those affected to seek to address what they perceive to be the immediate cause, and it is easy to blame breed.  However as Duffy et al (2008) wrote of their survey based data: “The substantial within-breed variation…suggests that it is inappropriate to make predictions about a given dog’s propensity for aggressive behavior based solely on its breed.”34  Factors relating to the individual animal (eg, training method, sex and neutering status), the target (e.g. owner versus stranger), and the context in which the dog is kept (e.g. urban versus rural) have been shown to be more predictive of dogs bites than has breed.   Also the nature of a breed has been shown to vary across time, geographically, and according to breed subtypes such as those raised for conformation showing versus field trials.33
 
Breed is a poor sole predictor of dog bites. Controlled studies reveal no increased risk for the group blamed most often for dog bites, ‘pit bull-type’ dogs.  Accordingly, targeting this breed or any another as a basis for dog bite prevention is unfounded. As stated by the National Animal Control Association: “Dangerous and/or vicious animals should be labeled as such as a result of their actions or behavior and not because of their breed.”
 

Summary Tables

Table One
Studies of Serious Dog Bite Injury by Breed

 
Period
Data Source
N
Country
Top Two Breeds Identified
Ref
1971
US Dept. Health
843
United States (VA)
mixed breed
German Shepherd Dog
1
1971-1974
Hospital records
50
South Africa
German Shepherd Dog
Labrador Retriever
2
1973-1976
US Dept. Health
2618
United States (AL)
German Shepherd Dog
Collie
3
1979-1982
Health Dept. Severe attacks
16
United States (SC)
pit bull type
Saint Bernard
20
1981-1983
US Reservations
772
United States
mixed breed
unspecified pedigree
19
1982
Hospital Records
420
Canada
German Shepherd
mixed breed
1982-1989
Hospital records
146
United Kingdom
pit bull type
Jack Russell Terrier
21
1987-1988
HASS
487
United Kingdom
mixed breed
German Shepherd Dog
4
1979-1998
Fatalities
27
United States
pitt bull type
Rottweiler
22
1969-2007
Fatalities
5
New Zealand
pitt bull type
--
1989
Hospital records
168
United States
German Shepherd Dog
pit bull type
5
1989
Hospital records
75
United Kingdom
German Shepherd Dog
mixed breed
6
1991
Animal control records
357
United States
German Shepherd Dog
Chow Chow
7
1991+1994
Hospital records
198
United Kingdom
German Shepherd Dog
mixed breed
8
1989-1996
Hospital records
1109
United States (CA)
pit bull type
German shepherd
9
1990-2007
Fatalities
28
Canada
mixed breed husky
“sled dog”
1995
Patients receiving rabies post-exposure
prophylaxis
~8000
United States (PA)
German Shepherd Dog
mixed breed
10
1991-2000
Hospital records
654
Spain
German Shepherd Dog
mixed breed
11
1996
Hospital records
1916
Australia
German Shepherd Dog
Bull Terrier
1995-1997
 
Animal control
?
United States
pit bull type
Chow Chow
23
1997
Hospital records
385
Canada
German Shepherd Dog
Cocker Spaniel
11
 1998-2002
Hospital records
72
Canada
Rottweiler
German Shepherd Dog
2002
Accident compensation claims
535
New Zealand
Mixed breed
German shepherd dog
17
1991-2004
Hospital records
25
South Africa
pit bull type
German Shepherd Dog
1994-2005
 
Hospital records
341
Austria
mixed breed
German Shepherd Dog
12
1997-2003
Hospital records
11
United States
Rottweiler
German Shepherd Dog
15
2001-2002
ACC claims
3020
New Zealand
German Shepherd Dog
pit bull type
13
2000-2004
Hospital records
593
United Kingdom
Rottweiler
Jack Russell Terrier
25
2001-2005
Hospital records
551
United States
pit bull type
Rottweiler
24
2002-2005
Veterinary referral
111
United States (PA)
Springer Spaniel
German Shepherd Dog
14
2004-2005
Survey based on Dog Bite Line contacts
234
Ireland
Collie
Spaniel
26
2001-2011
Hospital records
436
United Kingdom
Staffordshire Bull Terrier
Jack Russell Terrier
27
2000-2012
Hospital records
431
Switzerland
German Shepherd Dog
Rottweiller
18
2005-2009
Hospital records
40
United States (SC)
Pit bull type
Rottweiler
26
2006-2009
Hospital records
203
United States (PA)
Mixed breed
Pit bull type
20
 
Table Two
Studies of Serious Dog Bite Injury by Breed taking into Account Breed Prevalence
Period
Data Source
Prevalence estimate
N
Country
Breeds Identified as Higher Risk
Ref
1974-1975
Animal control
Licensed dogs
?
United States (MD)
German Shepherd Dog and shepherd crosses
Doberman Pinscher
1976-1977
US Bases
Relative risk versus mixed breed
529
United States (IL, MO)
Collie
German Shepherd Dog
Cocker Spaniel
1982
Pediatric practice
Non-biting pets of other patients
194
United States (MO)
German Shepherd Dog
and shepherd crosses
mixed breed over 30lb
Poodle
1986-1987
Health Unit
Licensed dogs
318
Canada
German Shepherd Dog
mixed breed
1991
Plastic surgery cases
Prevalence in community
146
Australia
German Shepherd Dog
46
1991
Animal control
Case controls
178
United States (CO)
German Shepherd Dog
Chow Chow
1990-1993
Hospital records
Survey
356
Australia
Doberman Pinscher
German Shepherd Dog
Rottweiler
45
1993
Shelter animals quarantined for biting
General shelter admissions
170
United States (WI)
Chow Chow
Cocker Spaniel
Lhasa Apso
1996
Owner self-report (biters)
Owner self-report (non-biters)
3226
Canada
Lhasa Apso
Springer Spaniel
Shih Tsu
39
2003-2004
Shelter and Veterinary Hospital records
Registered dogs
290
Italy
Shepherd breeds
32
 
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